Lebanon Caught Between Fragile Calm and New Strikes
- By Tahani Elghazaly
- Published
Lebanon has entered another dangerous phase after a partial de-escalation was announced between Israel and Hezbollah under U.S. mediation, a step that appears aimed mainly at preventing wider strikes on Beirut and its suburbs rather than delivering a full ceasefire across Lebanon.
According to Reuters, Lebanon’s embassy in Washington said Hezbollah had accepted a U.S. proposal for a mutual halt to attacks with Israel. The first stage would see Israel stop strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, while Hezbollah would stop attacks on Israel. But the announcement did not bring full calm on the ground, with new strikes continuing in southern Lebanon.
The risk now lies in the gap between diplomatic language and military reality. Reuters reported that Israel continued its military campaign in southern Lebanon on Tuesday, despite U.S. intervention that helped prevent a strike on Beirut. AP also reported deadly Israeli strikes in the south one day after U.S. statements about de-escalation.
The current arrangement appears fragile, limited, and conditional. Washington is trying to turn it into a broader ceasefire formula, but the core issues remain unresolved, including withdrawal terms, the geographic scope of any halt in fighting, and Hezbollah’s military role in any future security arrangement.
For civilians in Lebanon, especially in the south, the partial calm offers little certainty. Even if Beirut is temporarily spared, continued strikes in the south mean the front remains active and vulnerable to a wider flare-up.
The coming hours will be closely watched because Lebanon’s crisis is not isolated. The confrontation is tied to broader regional calculations involving Israel, Iran, and the United States, with potential consequences for regional security, displacement, and energy markets.
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